Learn to create a yield curve in Excel and understand its implications for interest rate forecasting. Follow our simple guide to plot your own financial data.
The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...
The US market consensus believes the country has avoided recession, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indexes showing strong performance. However, yield curves remain deeply inverted, which traditionally ...
North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...
Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...
Economists often look to the US Treasury bond market for clues about when a recession might come. Specifically, they examine the so-called yield curve. When it’s “inverted,” as it has been since about ...
Unless you follow investing closely you may never have heard of the “yield curve” and may not realize how much impact it has on your life. The yield curve predicts to some extent your income over the ...
Government bond yield curves and yield spreads are likely to remain stuck in ranges ahead of crucial Federal Open Market Committee guidance later in the day.
Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...
Historical charts show inverted yield curves often precede recessions. Therefore, many conclude that today's inverted yield curve means a recession is coming. The problem is, that link is a sloppy ...
After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...
There’s almost certainly a recession on the way, and we closed-end fund (CEF) investors have a big edge over mainstream investors. That edge is our high, reliable (and often monthly) CEF dividends.